AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Feb 06, 2026

Trethomas Bluebirds

Home
VS
19:45

Newport City

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Trethomas Bluebirds Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Newport City Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 35%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 48%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 2.57 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.9 Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Trethomas Bluebirds Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Newport City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Trethomas Bluebirds Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Trethomas… vs Cwmbran C… 2-0
Jan 23 Trethomas… vs Caerau (E… 1-5
Jan 09 Trethomas… vs Trefelin 3-1
Dec 26 Trethomas… vs Treowen S… 2-0
Dec 20 Trethomas… vs Baglan Dr… 2-1
Dec 05 Trethomas… vs Llantwit … 2-2
Nov 28 Trethomas… vs Pontyprid… 2-1
Nov 08 Trethomas… vs Carmarthe… 1-1
Nov 01 Trethomas… vs Aberystwy… 2-3
Oct 25 Trethomas… vs Cardiff D… 3-0
Newport City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Newport C… vs Aberystwy… 0-1
Jan 23 Newport C… vs Cambrian … 2-0
Jan 09 Newport C… vs Caerau (E… 1-1
Dec 27 Newport C… vs Cwmbran C… 2-2
Dec 10 Newport C… vs Cardiff D… 2-1
Dec 05 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 0-0
Nov 29 Newport C… vs Treowen S… 2-0
Nov 08 Newport C… vs Llantwit … 2-2
Nov 01 Newport C… vs Ammanford… 0-0
Oct 25 Newport C… vs Aberystwy… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Trethomas Bluebirds struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 10, 2025 Newport City 1 - 1 Trethomas Bluebirds FAW Championsh…
Jan 03, 2025 Newport City 1 - 2 Trethomas Bluebirds FAW Championsh…
Nov 01, 2024 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 - 1 Newport City FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Trethomas Bluebirds to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Trethomas Bluebirds Power 0
Newport City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.