AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 30, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
19:45

Cliftonville FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Larne Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Cliftonville FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.84 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cliftonville FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Larne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-2
Dec 20 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Dec 12 Larne vs Glentoran 1-0
Dec 05 Larne vs Linfield 0-0
Dec 02 Larne vs Ballymena… 2-0
Nov 29 Larne vs Dungannon… 1-2
Nov 25 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-2
Nov 21 Larne vs Glentoran 2-1
Nov 07 Larne vs Portadown 3-0
Nov 04 Larne vs Bangor 2-1
Cliftonville FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Cliftonvi… vs Crusaders… 1-2
Dec 20 Cliftonvi… vs Bangor 1-1
Dec 13 Cliftonvi… vs Glenavon … 5-2
Dec 06 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 2-2
Dec 02 Cliftonvi… vs Glentoran 0-0
Nov 29 Cliftonvi… vs Portadown 2-3
Nov 22 Cliftonvi… vs Coleraine… 1-0
Nov 08 Cliftonvi… vs Dungannon… 2-0
Nov 05 Cliftonvi… vs Strabane … 5-2
Nov 02 Cliftonvi… vs Linfield 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2025 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Aug 19, 2025 Cliftonville FC 1 - 1 Larne Premiership
Jan 14, 2025 Larne 0 - 1 Cliftonville FC League Cup
Jan 10, 2025 Larne 2 - 0 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Dec 01, 2024 Larne 1 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Sep 27, 2024 Cliftonville FC 1 - 3 Larne Premiership
Jul 05, 2024 Larne 2 - 1 Cliftonville FC Charity Shield
Apr 13, 2024 Larne 8 - 1 Cliftonville FC Premiership
Apr 02, 2024 Cliftonville FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 30, 2024 Cliftonville FC 2 - 0 Larne Irish Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Cliftonville FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Cliftonville FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.