AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Dec 06, 2025

Swindon

Home
VS
15:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Swindon Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Bolton Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.44 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Swindon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Swindon Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Swindon vs Peterboro… 1-0
Nov 11 Swindon vs Milton Ke… 0-4
Nov 01 Swindon vs Rotherham… 1-2
Oct 28 Swindon vs West Ham … 2-3
Oct 04 Swindon vs Newport C… 0-1
Sep 27 Swindon vs Burnley 2-0
Sep 20 Swindon vs Watford 3-2
Sep 13 Swindon vs Harrogate 3-1
Sep 06 Swindon vs Barrow 1-3
Sep 02 Swindon vs Reading FC 3-2
Bolton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 4-0
Dec 02 Bolton vs Brentford 3-0
Nov 29 Bolton vs Bolton 1-1
Nov 29 Bolton vs Yeovil To… 2-1
Nov 25 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Nov 22 Bolton vs Burnley 5-0
Nov 22 Bolton vs Brentford 0-0
Nov 22 Bolton vs Carlisle 1-2
Nov 15 Bolton vs Woking 1-1
Nov 15 Bolton vs Rotherham… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Swindon in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Swindon Power 0
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.