AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 19, 2025

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
08:00

Melbourne Victory Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Melbourne Victory Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.65 - 1.41
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Dec 07 Newcastle… vs Central C… 4-1
Nov 22 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-0
Nov 16 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-1
Nov 02 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 1-2
Apr 19 Newcastle… vs Central C… 1-2
Apr 11 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 4-1
Mar 30 Newcastle… vs Western U… 0-2
Mar 21 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 4-3
Mar 16 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Melbourne Victory Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Dec 05 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 1-3
Nov 30 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Nov 23 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 15 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-0
Nov 09 Melbourne… vs Western S… 1-4
Nov 01 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 3-2
May 18 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-1
May 10 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 3-1
May 04 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 21, 2025 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 3 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Jan 11, 2025 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Mar 23, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Nov 12, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 18, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 5 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Feb 08, 2022 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 20, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.