AI Match Insights

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Liga Portugal 2 Aug 26, 2023

Académico Viseu

Home
VS
10:00

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Académico Viseu Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Moreirense Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.68 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Académico Viseu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Académico Viseu Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 Académico… vs Moreirense 2-1
May 14 Académico… vs FC Porto B 3-1
Feb 25 Académico… vs Moreirense 1-2
Feb 12 Académico… vs Farense 2-0
Feb 08 Académico… vs FC Porto 0-1
Jan 31 Académico… vs Benfica 2-0
Jan 25 Académico… vs FC Porto 3-0
Jan 15 Académico… vs Moreirense 1-1
Jan 07 Académico… vs FC Porto B 2-1
Nov 20 Académico… vs Moreirense 1-1
Moreirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Moreirense vs Famalicao 0-0
Aug 15 Moreirense vs Moreirense 3-1
Jul 29 Moreirense vs Farense 3-2
Jul 23 Moreirense vs Farense 1-1
May 26 Moreirense vs Moreirense 4-1
May 21 Moreirense vs Penafiel … 5-1
May 20 Moreirense vs Académico… 2-1
May 06 Moreirense vs Estrela d… 2-4
Apr 29 Moreirense vs Tondela 2-1
Apr 16 Moreirense vs FC Porto 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Académico Viseu in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 20, 2023 Académico Viseu 2 - 1 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Feb 25, 2023 Moreirense 1 - 2 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Jan 15, 2023 Moreirense 1 - 1 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Nov 20, 2022 Moreirense 1 - 1 Académico Viseu Taça da Liga
Sep 03, 2022 Académico Viseu 1 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Apr 02, 2022 Moreirense 2 - 1 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Nov 08, 2021 Académico Viseu 0 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Mar 22, 2021 Moreirense 1 - 1 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

MASTER: Académico Viseu to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Académico Viseu Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.