AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Mar 16, 2025

Bologna

Home
VS
14:00

Lazio

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Lazio Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.97 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Bologna Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Bologna vs Verona 1-2
Mar 02 Bologna vs Cagliari 2-1
Feb 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-1
Feb 22 Bologna vs Parma 2-0
Feb 14 Bologna vs Torino 3-2
Feb 09 Bologna vs Lecce 0-0
Feb 04 Bologna vs Atalanta 0-1
Feb 01 Bologna vs Como 2-0
Jan 25 Bologna vs Empoli 1-1
Jan 18 Bologna vs Monza 3-1
Lazio Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Lazio vs Plzen 1-1
Mar 10 Lazio vs Udinese 1-1
Mar 06 Lazio vs Plzen 1-2
Mar 02 Lazio vs AC Milan 1-2
Feb 25 Lazio vs Inter 2-0
Feb 22 Lazio vs Venezia 0-0
Feb 15 Lazio vs Napoli 2-2
Feb 09 Lazio vs Monza 5-1
Feb 03 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-2
Jan 26 Lazio vs Fiorentina 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2024 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Nov 03, 2023 Bologna 1 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Lazio Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Lazio Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.