AI Match Insights

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Serie A Nov 24, 2024

Lazio

Home
VS
19:45

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bologna Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.30 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Lazio Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Lazio vs Monza 0-1
Nov 04 Lazio vs Cagliari 2-1
Nov 04 Lazio vs Cagliari 2-1
Oct 31 Lazio vs Como 1-5
Oct 31 Lazio vs Como 1-5
Oct 27 Lazio vs Genoa 3-0
Oct 27 Lazio vs Genoa 3-0
Oct 19 Lazio vs Juventus 1-0
Oct 06 Lazio vs Empoli 2-1
Sep 29 Lazio vs Torino 2-3
Bologna Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Bologna vs AS Roma 2-3
Nov 02 Bologna vs Lecce 1-0
Oct 29 Bologna vs Cagliari 0-2
Oct 19 Bologna vs Genoa 2-2
Oct 19 Bologna vs Genoa 2-2
Oct 06 Bologna vs Parma 0-0
Oct 06 Bologna vs Parma 0-0
Sep 28 Bologna vs Atalanta 1-1
Sep 28 Bologna vs Atalanta 1-1
Sep 22 Bologna vs Monza 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Nov 03, 2023 Bologna 1 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.