AI Match Insights

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Serie A Feb 18, 2024

Lazio

Home
VS
11:30

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Bologna Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.30 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Lazio Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Lazio vs Bayern Mu… 1-0
Feb 10 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-3
Feb 10 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-3
Feb 04 Lazio vs Atalanta 3-1
Jan 28 Lazio vs Napoli 0-0
Jan 28 Lazio vs Napoli 0-0
Jan 19 Lazio vs Inter 3-0
Jan 14 Lazio vs Lecce 1-0
Jan 14 Lazio vs Lecce 1-0
Jan 10 Lazio vs AS Roma 1-0
Bologna Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-0
Feb 14 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-0
Feb 11 Bologna vs Lecce 4-0
Feb 03 Bologna vs Sassuolo 4-2
Feb 03 Bologna vs Sassuolo 4-2
Jan 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-2
Jan 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-2
Jan 14 Bologna vs Cagliari 2-1
Jan 09 Bologna vs Fiorentina 0-0
Jan 05 Bologna vs Genoa 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bologna in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2023 Bologna 1 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.