AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 03, 2023

Bologna

Home
VS
19:45

Lazio

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Lazio Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.14 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Bologna vs Verona 2-0
Oct 28 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-1
Oct 07 Bologna vs Inter 2-2
Sep 24 Bologna vs Napoli 0-0
Sep 18 Bologna vs Verona 0-0
Aug 27 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Aug 21 Bologna vs AC Milan 0-2
May 28 Bologna vs Napoli 2-2
May 08 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-1
Apr 30 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Lazio Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Lazio vs Fiorentina 1-0
Sep 30 Lazio vs AC Milan 2-0
Sep 02 Lazio vs Napoli 1-2
Aug 27 Lazio vs Genoa 0-1
Aug 20 Lazio vs Lecce 2-1
May 28 Lazio vs Cremonese 3-2
May 21 Lazio vs Udinese 0-1
May 12 Lazio vs Lecce 2-2
May 06 Lazio vs AC Milan 2-0
Mar 11 Lazio vs Bologna 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Lazio Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Lazio Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.