AI Match Insights

Serie A Mar 11, 2023

Bologna

Home
VS
19:45

Lazio

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Lazio Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 0.97 - 1.03
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Bologna vs Inter 1-0
Feb 05 Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-2
Jan 19 Bologna vs Lazio 1-0
Jan 15 Bologna vs Udinese 1-2
Jan 09 Bologna vs Atalanta 1-2
Dec 22 Bologna vs Verona 0-1
Nov 12 Bologna vs Sassuolo 3-0
Nov 09 Bologna vs Inter 6-1
Oct 16 Bologna vs Napoli 3-2
Oct 02 Bologna vs Juventus 3-0
Lazio Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Lazio vs Napoli 0-1
Feb 06 Lazio vs Verona 1-1
Jan 29 Lazio vs Fiorentina 1-1
Jan 24 Lazio vs AC Milan 4-0
Jan 19 Lazio vs Bologna 1-0
Jan 04 Lazio vs Lecce 2-1
Oct 16 Lazio vs Udinese 0-0
Oct 10 Lazio vs Fiorentina 0-4
Sep 18 Lazio vs Cremonese 0-4
Sep 11 Lazio vs Verona 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1 - 0 Bologna Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Lazio Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Lazio Position

Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.