AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Coppa Italia Jan 19, 2023

Lazio

Home
VS
17:00

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bologna Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 4%
xG: 4.50 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Lazio Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Lazio vs Lecce 2-1
Oct 16 Lazio vs Udinese 0-0
Oct 10 Lazio vs Fiorentina 0-4
Sep 18 Lazio vs Cremonese 0-4
Sep 11 Lazio vs Verona 2-0
Sep 03 Lazio vs Napoli 1-2
Aug 14 Lazio vs Bologna 2-1
Jul 27 Lazio vs Genoa 4-1
May 21 Lazio vs Verona 3-3
Apr 24 Lazio vs AC Milan 1-2
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Bologna vs Udinese 1-2
Jan 09 Bologna vs Atalanta 1-2
Dec 22 Bologna vs Verona 0-1
Nov 12 Bologna vs Sassuolo 3-0
Nov 09 Bologna vs Inter 6-1
Oct 16 Bologna vs Napoli 3-2
Oct 02 Bologna vs Juventus 3-0
Sep 11 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-1
Aug 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-0
Aug 21 Bologna vs Verona 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna Serie A
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lazio to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.