AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 14, 2022

Lazio

Home
VS
16:30

Bologna

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Bologna Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.06 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Lazio Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Lazio vs Genoa 4-1
May 21 Lazio vs Verona 3-3
Apr 24 Lazio vs AC Milan 1-2
Apr 10 Lazio vs Genoa 1-4
Feb 27 Lazio vs Napoli 1-2
Feb 20 Lazio vs Udinese 1-1
Feb 12 Lazio vs Bologna 3-0
Feb 09 Lazio vs AC Milan 4-0
Feb 05 Lazio vs Fiorentina 0-3
Jan 18 Lazio vs Udinese 1-0
Bologna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Bologna vs Genoa 0-1
May 15 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-3
Apr 27 Bologna vs Inter 2-1
Apr 24 Bologna vs Udinese 2-2
Apr 16 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Apr 04 Bologna vs AC Milan 0-0
Mar 20 Bologna vs Atalanta 0-1
Mar 13 Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-0
Feb 12 Bologna vs Lazio 3-0
Jan 21 Bologna vs Verona 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
Bologna Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bologna Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.