AI Match Insights

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Serie A Jan 16, 2022

AS Roma

Home
VS
17:00

Cagliari

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
AS Roma Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Cagliari Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
AS Roma Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 09 AS Roma vs Juventus 3-4
Dec 18 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-4
Nov 28 AS Roma vs Torino 1-0
Nov 21 AS Roma vs Genoa 0-2
Oct 27 AS Roma vs Cagliari 1-2
Oct 24 AS Roma vs Napoli 0-0
Oct 17 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-0
Sep 23 AS Roma vs Udinese 1-0
Sep 12 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 2-1
Sep 07 AS Roma vs Saudi Ara… 0-1
Cagliari Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Cagliari vs Juventus 2-0
Dec 06 Cagliari vs Torino 1-1
Nov 30 Cagliari vs Verona 0-0
Nov 06 Cagliari vs Atalanta 1-2
Oct 27 Cagliari vs AS Roma 1-2
Oct 24 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 3-0
Sep 26 Cagliari vs Napoli 2-0
Sep 12 Cagliari vs Genoa 2-3
Aug 29 Cagliari vs AC Milan 4-1
Aug 14 Cagliari vs Pisa 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Roma in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cagliari struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2021 Cagliari 1 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Dec 23, 2020 AS Roma 3 - 2 Cagliari Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Roma to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Roma Power 41
Cagliari Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

AS Roma Position

+7

Position Gap

12

Cagliari Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.