AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 27, 2021

Cagliari

Home
VS
18:45

AS Roma

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Cagliari Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AS Roma Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.12 - 1.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.3
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Cagliari Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 3-0
Sep 26 Cagliari vs Napoli 2-0
Sep 12 Cagliari vs Genoa 2-3
Aug 29 Cagliari vs AC Milan 4-1
Aug 14 Cagliari vs Pisa 3-1
May 22 Cagliari vs Genoa 0-1
May 16 Cagliari vs AC Milan 0-0
May 12 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 0-0
May 02 Cagliari vs Napoli 1-1
Apr 25 Cagliari vs AS Roma 3-2
AS Roma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 AS Roma vs Napoli 0-0
Oct 17 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-0
Sep 23 AS Roma vs Udinese 1-0
Sep 12 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 2-1
Sep 07 AS Roma vs Saudi Ara… 0-1
Jun 20 AS Roma vs Mali 2-1
Apr 25 AS Roma vs Cagliari 3-2
Apr 22 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-1
Apr 03 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 2-2
Mar 21 AS Roma vs Napoli 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cagliari struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Dec 23, 2020 AS Roma 3 - 2 Cagliari Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cagliari Power 34
AS Roma Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Cagliari Position

-7

Position Gap

5

AS Roma Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.