AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Shield Cup May 25, 2025

Gor Mahia

Home
VS
13:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Gor Mahia Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Murang'a SEAL Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Gor Mahia Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Gor Mahia vs Murang'a … 0-0
May 04 Gor Mahia vs Shabana 0-1
May 01 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 0-2
Apr 27 Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar 4-0
Apr 19 Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka 1-1
Apr 12 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 0-2
Mar 30 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Mar 15 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 2-0
Mar 05 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 1-3
Feb 20 Gor Mahia vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 0-0
May 01 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 3-2
Apr 06 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Mar 15 Murang'a … vs Police 3-1
Mar 02 Murang'a … vs Mathare U… 1-1
Feb 19 Murang'a … vs Homeboyz 3-1
Feb 15 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 1-2
Jan 25 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Jan 19 Murang'a … vs Police 0-1
Jan 12 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gor Mahia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2025 Murang'a SEAL 0 - 0 Gor Mahia FKF Premier Le…
Nov 02, 2024 Gor Mahia 2 - 2 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
May 04, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 3 Gor Mahia FKF Premier Le…
Nov 11, 2023 Gor Mahia 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gor Mahia to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gor Mahia Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.