AI Match Insights

FKF Premier League May 18, 2025

Murang'a SEAL

Home
VS
12:00

Gor Mahia

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Murang'a SEAL Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Gor Mahia Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 0.39 - 1.77
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-2 (18%) 0-0 (12%) 0-3 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Murang'a SEAL Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 3-2
Apr 06 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Mar 15 Murang'a … vs Police 3-1
Mar 02 Murang'a … vs Mathare U… 1-1
Feb 19 Murang'a … vs Homeboyz 3-1
Feb 15 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 1-2
Jan 25 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Jan 19 Murang'a … vs Police 0-1
Jan 12 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Dec 10 Murang'a … vs Mathare U… 0-2
Gor Mahia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Gor Mahia vs Shabana 0-1
May 01 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 0-2
Apr 27 Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar 4-0
Apr 19 Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka 1-1
Apr 12 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 0-2
Mar 30 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Mar 15 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 2-0
Mar 05 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 1-3
Feb 20 Gor Mahia vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Feb 16 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gor Mahia in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2024 Gor Mahia 2 - 2 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
May 04, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1 - 3 Gor Mahia FKF Premier Le…
Nov 11, 2023 Gor Mahia 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Gor Mahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Murang'a SEAL Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Gor Mahia Position

Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.