AI Match Insights
Challenge League May 23, 2023
Yverdon Sport
HomeVS
18:15
FC Aarau
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
Draw
FC Aarau Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.51 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Yverdon Sport Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 19 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… | 4-1 |
| Apr 07 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 3-1 |
| Nov 19 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… | 5-0 |
| Nov 04 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 3-2 |
| Oct 08 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 4-0 |
FC Aarau Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 14 | FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… | 5-2 |
| Apr 19 | FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… | 6-0 |
| Mar 04 | FC Aarau vs St. Galle… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 3-2 |
| Sep 30 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 2-2 |
| Sep 24 | FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | FC Aarau vs St. Galle… | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Yverdon Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | FC Aarau | 1 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 04, 2022 | FC Aarau | 3 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 2 - 2 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| May 06, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 0 - 4 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FC Aarau | 0 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1 - 0 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power
0
FC Aarau Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Yverdon Sport Position-1
Position Gap2
FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.