AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 10, 2023

FC Aarau

Home
VS
19:15

Yverdon Sport

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Yverdon Sport Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.76 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
FC Aarau Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 3-2
Sep 30 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 2-2
Sep 24 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Sep 17 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 3-2
Aug 20 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-0
May 28 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 2-1
May 21 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 0-3
May 06 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-4
Mar 26 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-3
Mar 19 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-2
Yverdon Sport Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 1-0
Nov 25 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 3-1
Nov 19 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 5-0
Nov 04 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 3-2
Oct 08 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 4-0
Sep 30 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 2-2
Aug 12 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 1-3
Aug 05 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-3
Jul 15 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
May 10 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Yverdon Sport struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 04, 2022 FC Aarau 3 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 30, 2022 Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
May 06, 2022 Yverdon Sport 0 - 4 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2022 FC Aarau 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
Yverdon Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Yverdon Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.