AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Sep 30, 2022

Yverdon Sport

Home
VS
17:30

FC Aarau

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Aarau Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.84 - 2.36
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Yverdon Sport Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 1-3
Aug 05 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-3
Jul 15 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
May 10 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
May 06 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 0-4
Apr 30 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Mar 19 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 0-2
Mar 04 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Feb 12 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 0-0
Nov 26 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
FC Aarau Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Sep 17 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 3-2
Aug 20 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-0
May 28 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 2-1
May 21 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 0-3
May 06 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-4
Mar 26 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-3
Mar 19 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-2
Feb 12 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Feb 05 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2022 Yverdon Sport 0 - 4 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2022 FC Aarau 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power 0
FC Aarau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Yverdon Sport Position

-1

Position Gap

2

FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.