AI Match Insights
Challenge League May 06, 2022
Yverdon Sport
HomeVS
18:15
FC Aarau
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
Draw
FC Aarau Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.07 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
Yverdon Sport Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 2-2 |
| Mar 19 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 2-1 |
| Nov 06 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 1-0 |
| Oct 16 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 3-0 |
| Sep 10 | Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 1-1 |
FC Aarau Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 | FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… | 0-3 |
| Mar 19 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | FC Aarau vs St. Galle… | 1-3 |
| Nov 06 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | FC Aarau vs FC Sion | 4-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Aarau struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | FC Aarau | 0 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1 - 0 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power
0
FC Aarau Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Yverdon Sport Position-1
Position Gap2
FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.