AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Mar 19, 2022

FC Aarau

Home
VS
17:00

Yverdon Sport

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Yverdon Sport Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.82 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
FC Aarau Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Feb 05 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 1-3
Nov 06 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-0
Sep 10 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-1
Aug 28 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 1-1
Feb 10 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 4-2
Yverdon Sport Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Feb 12 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 0-0
Nov 26 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
Nov 06 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 1-0
Oct 16 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
Sep 17 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
Sep 10 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 1-1
Aug 21 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Aug 07 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
May 01 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
Yverdon Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Yverdon Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.