AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Nov 06, 2021

FC Aarau

Home
VS
17:00

Yverdon Sport

Away
AI Predictions 45.7% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
45.7%
Draw
24.9%
Yverdon Sport Win
29.5%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
FC Aarau Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-1
Aug 28 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 1-1
Feb 10 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 4-2
Yverdon Sport Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
Sep 17 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
Sep 10 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 1-1
Aug 21 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Aug 07 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
May 01 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 1-1
Apr 17 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
Yverdon Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Yverdon Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.