AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Sep 10, 2021

Yverdon Sport

Home
VS
18:30

FC Aarau

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
FC Aarau Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.30 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Yverdon Sport Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Aug 07 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 3-0
May 01 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 1-1
Apr 17 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 3-0
FC Aarau Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 1-1
Feb 10 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 4-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power 0
FC Aarau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Yverdon Sport Position

-1

Position Gap

2

FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.