AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĂłn Oct 22, 2024

Aurora

Home
VS
22:00

Universitario de Vinto

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Aurora Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Universitario de Vinto Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Universitario de Vinto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Aurora Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Aurora vs BolĂ­var 0-1
Sep 21 Aurora vs Always Re… 1-0
Aug 11 Aurora vs Jorge Wil… 0-0
Aug 08 Aurora vs Blooming 1-0
Jul 27 Aurora vs The Stron… 1-1
Jul 21 Aurora vs Oriente P… 2-1
Jul 13 Aurora vs Gualberto… 2-1
May 25 Aurora vs Universit… 2-2
May 22 Aurora vs BolĂ­var 1-1
Apr 19 Aurora vs Oriente P… 2-3
Universitario de Vinto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Universit… vs Bolívar 0-1
Aug 17 Universit… vs Oriente P… 1-2
Aug 12 Universit… vs San Anton… 2-1
Aug 07 Universit… vs Gualberto… 1-1
Aug 01 Universit… vs Blooming 1-0
Jul 14 Universit… vs The Stron… 1-0
May 25 Universit… vs Aurora 2-2
May 05 Universit… vs San Anton… 1-1
May 01 Universit… vs San Anton… 1-2
Apr 28 Universit… vs The Stron… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aurora in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Universitario de Vinto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2024 Universitario de Vi… 2 - 2 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Jul 30, 2023 Aurora 0 - 1 Universitario de Vi… Primera Divisi…
Feb 26, 2023 Universitario de Vi… 1 - 1 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2022 Aurora 0 - 2 Universitario de Vi… Primera Divisi…
Aug 11, 2022 Universitario de Vi… 0 - 3 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aurora to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aurora Power 0
Universitario de Vinto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.