AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn May 25, 2024

Universitario de Vinto

Home
VS
19:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Universitario de Vinto Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Aurora Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.64 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario de Vinto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Universitario de Vinto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Universit… vs San Anton… 1-1
May 01 Universit… vs San Anton… 1-2
Apr 28 Universit… vs The Stron… 1-2
Apr 20 Universit… vs The Stron… 0-1
Mar 13 Universit… vs Oriente P… 1-0
Mar 09 Universit… vs San Anton… 1-0
Mar 03 Universit… vs Oriente P… 2-1
Feb 28 Universit… vs San Anton… 5-1
Feb 24 Universit… vs San Anton… 0-0
Dec 09 Universit… vs Bolívar 2-2
Aurora Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 Aurora vs BolĂ­var 1-1
Apr 19 Aurora vs Oriente P… 2-3
Apr 15 Aurora vs Oriente P… 0-1
Mar 31 Aurora vs Blooming 4-2
Mar 29 Aurora vs Blooming 1-0
Mar 20 Aurora vs Jorge Wil… 4-1
Mar 10 Aurora vs Jorge Wil… 1-1
Feb 25 Aurora vs Jorge Wil… 1-0
Dec 14 Aurora vs BolĂ­var 1-0
Dec 12 Aurora vs BolĂ­var 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitario de Vinto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 30, 2023 Aurora 0 - 1 Universitario de Vi… Primera Divisi…
Feb 26, 2023 Universitario de Vi… 1 - 1 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2022 Aurora 0 - 2 Universitario de Vi… Primera Divisi…
Aug 11, 2022 Universitario de Vi… 0 - 3 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitario de Vinto to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitario de Vinto Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.