AI Match Insights

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CONCACAF Champions League Apr 24, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
02:00

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cruz Azul Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.80 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Tigres UANL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 2-1
Apr 16 Tigres UA… vs Pachuca 0-0
Apr 13 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 2-1
Mar 15 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 3-0
Feb 23 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-0
Feb 16 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Feb 02 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Jan 11 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-3
Dec 02 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-0
Cruz Azul Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 2-2
Apr 16 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Apr 13 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 0-0
Apr 06 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 3-2
Mar 30 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Feb 16 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Jan 25 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-1
Jan 18 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Jan 12 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-1
Nov 10 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres UANL to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.