AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 10, 2024

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
03:05

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tigres UANL Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.94 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.0 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Cruz Azul Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Oct 27 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Oct 24 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 4-0
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Sep 22 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Sep 15 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-2
May 27 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 24 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-1
May 20 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 1-2
May 17 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 0-1
Tigres UANL Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-2
Sep 14 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 01 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-3
May 13 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 1-1
May 10 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 1-2
Apr 28 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 4-1
Apr 21 Tigres UA… vs Necaxa 5-2
Apr 14 Tigres UA… vs Monterrey 3-3
Apr 07 Tigres UA… vs Pachuca 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.