AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 18, 2024

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
03:05

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Tigres UANL Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.59 - 1.10
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Cruz Azul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 0-0
Nov 13 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Nov 05 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Nov 02 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-0
Oct 29 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 22 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Jul 08 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 0-2
Jul 02 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-0
Jun 21 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-1
May 06 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 0-1
Tigres UANL Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-3
Feb 04 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 2-2
Jan 25 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-2
Jan 18 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-2
Dec 11 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Dec 08 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 0-1
Nov 04 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 2-2
Oct 22 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Oct 05 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-2
Aug 31 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.