AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 22, 2023

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
03:10

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruz Azul Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.82 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Tigres UANL Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-2
Aug 28 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 2-1
Jul 16 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-0
May 14 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 3-1
May 04 Tigres UA… vs León FC 3-1
May 01 Tigres UA… vs León FC 3-0
Apr 26 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-1
Feb 12 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 4-2
Feb 05 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Jan 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Cruz Azul Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 02 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-0
Jun 21 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-1
May 06 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 0-1
Apr 23 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Apr 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 0-0
Feb 25 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Feb 23 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-0
Feb 18 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-3
Feb 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 0-1
Dec 31 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Cruz Azul struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.