AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 05, 2023

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
01:05

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Tigres UANL Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 0.45 - 1.93
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-2 (17%) 0-3 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Cruz Azul Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 31 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-2
Dec 23 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-1
Oct 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 02 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Sep 16 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Sep 03 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-2
Aug 14 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 2-3
Jul 24 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 2-2
Jul 16 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 3-2
Jul 03 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 2-3
Tigres UANL Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Jan 09 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-3
Dec 27 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 1-1
Oct 01 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-3
Sep 11 Tigres UA… vs León FC 0-1
Aug 25 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Aug 15 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 2-0
Jul 03 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-3
Mar 12 Tigres UA… vs León FC 0-3
Feb 20 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.