AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 27, 2025

Dundee

Home
VS
15:00

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Dundee Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Falkirk Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.30 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundee Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Dundee Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Dundee vs Motherwell 1-0
Dec 13 Dundee vs Livingston 2-2
Dec 06 Dundee vs Aberdeen 1-3
Dec 03 Dundee vs Celtic 1-0
Nov 29 Dundee vs St. Mirren 3-1
Nov 22 Dundee vs Hibernian 2-0
Nov 09 Dundee vs Rangers FC 0-3
Nov 01 Dundee vs Heart of … 4-0
Oct 25 Dundee vs Falkirk 2-1
Oct 19 Dundee vs Celtic 2-0
Falkirk Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 13 Falkirk vs Heart of … 0-2
Dec 06 Falkirk vs Hibernian 3-0
Dec 03 Falkirk vs Motherwell 0-0
Nov 30 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 0-0
Nov 22 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 0-3
Nov 08 Falkirk vs Livingston 1-1
Nov 01 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 3-1
Oct 29 Falkirk vs Celtic 4-0
Oct 25 Falkirk vs Dundee 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dundee struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Falkirk 2 - 1 Dundee Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dundee Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Dundee Position

-4

Position Gap

6

Falkirk Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.