AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 27, 2025

St. Mirren

Home
VS
15:00

Kilmarnock

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
St. Mirren Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Kilmarnock Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.37 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
St. Mirren Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0
Dec 06 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Dec 03 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 3-3
Nov 29 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 3-1
Nov 22 St. Mirren vs Celtic 0-1
Nov 08 St. Mirren vs Hibernian 0-3
Nov 01 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 1-4
Oct 29 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-2
Oct 25 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 3-1
Oct 18 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 0-1
Kilmarnock Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Kilmarnock vs Falkirk 0-1
Dec 14 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 2-1
Dec 06 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 0-3
Dec 03 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 1-1
Nov 29 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 22 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 1-3
Nov 09 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 4-0
Nov 01 Kilmarnock vs Falkirk 3-1
Oct 29 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 0-1
Oct 26 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kilmarnock struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 19, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 2 St. Mirren League Cup
Mar 29, 2025 St. Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Mirren Power 0
Kilmarnock Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

St. Mirren Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Kilmarnock Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.