AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Dec 01, 2024

Ludogorets Razgrad

Home
VS
15:30

CSKA Sofia

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
CSKA Sofia Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.85 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-2
Sep 18 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Aug 25 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-1
Aug 17 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Aug 03 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 5-1
May 26 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Apr 15 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 2-0
Apr 03 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 5-1
Feb 26 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-2
Nov 27 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-3
CSKA Sofia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-2
Oct 29 CSKA Sofia vs Montana 1-3
Sep 28 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 0-0
Sep 22 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Sep 18 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 0-1
Sep 16 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 0-3
Aug 31 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 0-0
Aug 30 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 0-1
Aug 25 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 2-0
Aug 24 CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kard… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 18, 2024 CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Aug 17, 2024 Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 0 CSKA Sofia First League
May 26, 2024 CSKA Sofia 1 - 0 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Apr 03, 2024 Ludogorets Razgrad 5 - 1 CSKA Sofia First League
Nov 27, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Nov 02, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Oct 01, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Jun 03, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 3 - 2 CSKA Sofia First League
Feb 19, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 1 CSKA Sofia First League
Nov 26, 2022 CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

+2

Position Gap

5

CSKA Sofia Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.