AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Dec 01, 2024

Virtus

Home
VS
14:00

Libertas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Libertas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.71 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Virtus Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Virtus vs Cailungo 0-7
Nov 01 Virtus vs Folgore 1-0
Oct 26 Virtus vs Murata 2-1
Oct 23 Virtus vs Cosmos 2-2
Oct 20 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 0-0
Oct 05 Virtus vs Cosmos 1-3
Sep 25 Virtus vs Cosmos 0-1
Sep 14 Virtus vs Domagnano 1-2
Aug 28 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 1-0
May 25 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 0-0
Libertas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 0-3
Oct 19 Libertas vs Tre Penne 1-1
Sep 27 Libertas vs San Marin… 0-1
Sep 24 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-0
Sep 20 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Sep 15 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 1-1
Apr 07 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 1-2
Mar 16 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 4-1
Mar 13 Libertas vs Tre Penne 1-3
Mar 03 Libertas vs San Giova… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2024 Libertas 0 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Oct 03, 2023 Virtus 2 - 1 Libertas Campionato
May 19, 2023 Libertas 1 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Feb 12, 2023 Libertas 2 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Oct 01, 2022 Virtus 1 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Mar 05, 2022 Libertas 0 - 3 Virtus Campionato
Nov 21, 2021 Virtus 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Libertas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Virtus Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Libertas Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.