AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato May 19, 2023

Libertas

Home
VS
18:45

Virtus

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Libertas Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Virtus Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.84 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Libertas Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 1-1
Apr 29 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Apr 22 Libertas vs San Giova… 1-3
Apr 05 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 0-3
Apr 01 Libertas vs Domagnano 3-0
Mar 17 Libertas vs Tre Penne 4-0
Mar 08 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-2
Feb 19 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Feb 12 Libertas vs Virtus 2-2
Feb 08 Libertas vs Tre Penne 0-2
Virtus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-1
May 03 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 29 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 23 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-3
Apr 06 Virtus vs Folgore 2-0
Apr 01 Virtus vs Cosmos 1-1
Mar 19 Virtus vs Murata 5-0
Mar 11 Virtus vs Cailungo 4-2
Mar 08 Virtus vs Tre Penne 2-1
Feb 12 Virtus vs Libertas 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Libertas in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 12, 2023 Libertas 2 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Oct 01, 2022 Virtus 1 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Mar 05, 2022 Libertas 0 - 3 Virtus Campionato
Nov 21, 2021 Virtus 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Libertas Power 0
Virtus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Libertas Position

-9

Position Gap

2

Virtus Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.