AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 01, 2022

Virtus

Home
VS
13:00

Libertas

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Libertas Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.32 - 1.48
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (24%) 0-2 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 0-3 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Virtus Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Virtus vs Domagnano 1-2
May 15 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-1
May 11 Virtus vs Pennarossa 0-1
Apr 21 Virtus vs Murata 1-0
Apr 10 Virtus vs Cailungo 0-2
Apr 03 Virtus vs Tre Penne 2-1
Mar 20 Virtus vs Pennarossa 0-2
Mar 15 Virtus vs Murata 1-2
Mar 05 Virtus vs Libertas 0-3
Feb 06 Virtus vs Domagnano 0-0
Libertas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Libertas vs Domagnano 0-3
Mar 20 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 2-1
Mar 12 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-1
Mar 05 Libertas vs Virtus 0-3
Feb 12 Libertas vs Murata 3-0
Feb 06 Libertas vs San Giova… 0-1
Dec 11 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 1-7
Nov 21 Libertas vs Virtus 0-1
Oct 20 Libertas vs Murata 1-0
Oct 16 Libertas vs San Giova… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Libertas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2022 Libertas 0 - 3 Virtus Campionato
Nov 21, 2021 Virtus 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Libertas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Virtus Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Libertas Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.