AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Girabola Apr 13, 2024

Petro de Luanda

Home
VS
15:00

Sagrada Esperança

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Petro de Luanda Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sagrada Esperança Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Petro de Luanda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sagrada Esperança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Petro de Luanda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 0-0
Feb 14 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 0-0
Feb 09 Petro de … vs Kabuscorp 0-3
Dec 23 Petro de … vs Interclube 4-1
Dec 19 Petro de … vs ES Tunis 0-0
Dec 09 Petro de … vs ES Tunis 0-0
Oct 29 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 1-1
Apr 29 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 1-2
Apr 16 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 2-1
Mar 01 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-2
Sagrada Esperança Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 1-1
Feb 28 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 1-0
Feb 14 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 0-0
Dec 29 Sagrada E… vs Kabuscorp 2-0
Dec 15 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 1-1
Apr 29 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 1-2
Apr 08 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 1-0
Mar 04 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 3-2
Feb 08 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 1-0
Dec 10 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2024 Sagrada Esperança 0 - 0 Petro de Luanda Girabola
Apr 29, 2023 Sagrada Esperança 1 - 2 Petro de Luanda Girabola
Dec 10, 2022 Petro de Luanda 2 - 1 Sagrada Esperança Girabola
May 18, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 1 Sagrada Esperança Girabola
Mar 12, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 0 Sagrada Esperança CAF Champions …
Feb 26, 2022 Sagrada Esperança 0 - 1 Petro de Luanda CAF Champions …
Final Verdict

PRO: Petro de Luanda to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Petro de Luanda Power 0
Sagrada Esperança Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Petro de Luanda Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Sagrada Esperança Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.