AI Match Insights

Girabola Apr 29, 2023

Sagrada Esperança

Home
VS
14:30

Petro de Luanda

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sagrada Esperança Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Petro de Luanda Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.51 - 1.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sagrada Esperança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Petro de Luanda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Sagrada Esperança Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 1-0
Mar 04 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 3-2
Feb 08 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 1-0
Dec 10 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 2-1
Nov 24 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 4-1
Oct 29 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 1-1
Oct 01 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 2-0
May 18 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 3-1
Apr 23 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 1-2
Mar 16 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 0-2
Petro de Luanda Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 2-1
Mar 01 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-2
Dec 10 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 2-1
Nov 29 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 0-1
Nov 09 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-1
May 18 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 3-1
Apr 30 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-3
Mar 12 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 3-0
Feb 26 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 0-1
Feb 05 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sagrada Esperança in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2022 Petro de Luanda 2 - 1 Sagrada Esperança Girabola
May 18, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 1 Sagrada Esperança Girabola
Mar 12, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 0 Sagrada Esperança CAF Champions …
Feb 26, 2022 Sagrada Esperança 0 - 1 Petro de Luanda CAF Champions …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sagrada Esperança Power 0
Petro de Luanda Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Sagrada Esperança Position

-12

Position Gap

1

Petro de Luanda Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.