AI Match Insights

Girabola Dec 10, 2022

Petro de Luanda

Home
VS
14:30

Sagrada Esperança

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Petro de Luanda Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sagrada Esperança Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.99 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.6 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Petro de Luanda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Sagrada Esperança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Petro de Luanda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 0-1
Nov 09 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-1
May 18 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 3-1
Apr 30 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 1-3
Mar 12 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 3-0
Feb 26 Petro de … vs Sagrada E… 0-1
Feb 05 Petro de … vs 1º de Ago… 1-1
Jan 25 Petro de … vs Kabuscorp 4-1
Oct 30 Petro de … vs Kabuscorp 0-3
Oct 27 Petro de … vs CD Lunda-… 3-1
Sagrada Esperança Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 4-1
Oct 29 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 1-1
Oct 01 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 2-0
May 18 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 3-1
Apr 23 Sagrada E… vs Interclube 1-2
Mar 16 Sagrada E… vs Recreativ… 0-2
Mar 12 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 3-0
Feb 26 Sagrada E… vs Petro de … 0-1
Jan 29 Sagrada E… vs Kabuscorp 1-1
Jan 22 Sagrada E… vs CD Lunda-… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Petro de Luanda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sagrada Esperança struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 1 Sagrada Esperança Girabola
Mar 12, 2022 Petro de Luanda 3 - 0 Sagrada Esperança CAF Champions …
Feb 26, 2022 Sagrada Esperança 0 - 1 Petro de Luanda CAF Champions …
Final Verdict

PRO: Petro de Luanda to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Petro de Luanda Power 0
Sagrada Esperança Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Petro de Luanda Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Sagrada Esperança Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.