AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Mar 30, 2025

Liverpool Women

Home
VS
13:00

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Liverpool Women Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Aston Villa Women Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.57 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Liverpool Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 4-0
Mar 14 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 3-1
Mar 09 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-1
Feb 02 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 1-0
Jan 29 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-5
Jan 17 Liverpool… vs Brighton … 2-1
Dec 15 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-1
Dec 08 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 4-0
Nov 10 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 0-3
Nov 03 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Aston Villa Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-4
Mar 09 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Mar 02 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-2
Feb 08 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 3-2
Jan 25 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-4
Jan 18 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-1
Dec 08 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 4-0
Nov 23 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Nov 10 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Nov 03 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liverpool Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 2 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Mar 03, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Liverpool Women 2 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
May 21, 2023 Aston Villa Women 3 - 3 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Nov 06, 2022 Liverpool Women 0 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 13, 2021 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liverpool Women Power 38
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Liverpool Women Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.