AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Nov 03, 2024

Aston Villa Women

Home
VS
16:30

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Liverpool Women Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.02 - 2.91
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (8%) 0-3 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Aston Villa Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Oct 05 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 4-2
Sep 29 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-2
May 18 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-2
May 04 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-1
Mar 24 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-3
Mar 16 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-2
Mar 06 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 4-0
Mar 03 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-4
Feb 18 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 1-2
Liverpool Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-3
Oct 02 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Sep 29 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 1-1
May 05 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 1-0
May 01 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 4-3
Mar 17 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 3-1
Mar 03 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 1-4
Feb 18 Liverpool… vs Brighton … 0-1
Feb 11 Liverpool… vs London Ci… 0-2
Feb 04 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Liverpool Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Oct 08, 2023 Liverpool Women 2 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
May 21, 2023 Aston Villa Women 3 - 3 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Nov 06, 2022 Liverpool Women 0 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 13, 2021 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aston Villa Women to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 3-2 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aston Villa Women Position

+5

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.