AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL May 21, 2023

Aston Villa Women

Home
VS
13:00

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Liverpool Women Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.39 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aston Villa Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Apr 23 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 3-3
Mar 19 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Mar 05 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-2
Feb 12 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 2-6
Feb 04 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 1-1
Jan 26 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 3-0
Jan 21 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Jan 14 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Dec 11 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-4
Liverpool Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 2-1
Apr 02 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-0
Mar 12 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Mar 08 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
Jan 29 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 3-2
Jan 25 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-1
Jan 15 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 6-0
Dec 04 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 2-0
Nov 06 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Oct 23 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Liverpool Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2022 Liverpool Women 0 - 1 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 13, 2021 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aston Villa Women to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 3-2 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aston Villa Women Position

+5

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.