AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Nov 06, 2022

Liverpool Women

Home
VS
14:00

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Liverpool Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Aston Villa Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.91 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Liverpool Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
Oct 16 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Sep 18 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 2-1
Apr 24 Liverpool… vs Sheffield… 6-1
Mar 06 Liverpool… vs London Ci… 1-1
Feb 27 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-4
Jan 19 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Nov 03 Liverpool… vs Sheffield… 0-0
Oct 13 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Oct 09 Liverpool… vs Sheffield… 0-2
Aston Villa Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-1
Oct 22 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-1
Oct 01 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Sep 18 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 4-3
May 08 Aston Vil… vs Birmingha… 0-1
May 01 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 7-0
Apr 24 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Apr 03 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 0-1
Mar 05 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-1
Mar 02 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 13, 2021 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liverpool Women Power 38
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Liverpool Women Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.