AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 01, 2022

RCK

Home
VS
16:00

Vitesse

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
RCK Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Vitesse Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.75 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RCK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Vitesse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
RCK Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 RCK vs Douanes 1-1
Mar 13 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 4-1
Dec 12 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 0-1
Dec 05 RCK vs Douanes 1-1
Oct 17 RCK vs Vitesse 3-1
Sep 25 RCK vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
Jun 23 RCK vs RC Bobo-D… 0-0
Apr 17 RCK vs Douanes 3-1
Mar 07 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 1-0
Dec 20 RCK vs Etoile Fi… 0-0
Vitesse Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Vitesse vs RC Bobo-D… 0-1
Apr 16 Vitesse vs Majestic … 2-0
Mar 23 Vitesse vs ASFB 1-2
Mar 20 Vitesse vs ASFA-Yenn… 1-3
Dec 03 Vitesse vs ASFA-Yenn… 1-1
Nov 28 Vitesse vs ASFB 0-0
Oct 29 Vitesse vs Majestic … 0-1
Oct 24 Vitesse vs RC Bobo-D… 1-0
Oct 17 Vitesse vs RCK 3-1
Sep 26 Vitesse vs USFA 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • RCK struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Vitesse struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2021 Vitesse 3 - 1 RCK Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RCK to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RCK Power 0
Vitesse Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

RCK Position

+7

Position Gap

16

Vitesse Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.