AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Mar 03, 2024

Aarhus GF

Home
VS
17:00

Odense

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Aarhus GF Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Odense Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.25 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aarhus GF Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Odense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Aarhus GF Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Aarhus GF vs FC Midtjy… 2-3
Feb 17 Aarhus GF vs Hobro 1-0
Dec 10 Aarhus GF vs Brondby 2-1
Dec 07 Aarhus GF vs Brondby 2-0
Oct 30 Aarhus GF vs Rangers FC 2-1
Sep 24 Aarhus GF vs Rangers FC 1-1
Aug 20 Aarhus GF vs Odense 1-1
Aug 13 Aarhus GF vs Silkeborg… 2-2
May 30 Aarhus GF vs Rangers FC 1-3
Apr 03 Aarhus GF vs Rangers FC 1-1
Odense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Odense vs Brondby 0-3
Nov 01 Odense vs FC Freder… 3-1
Aug 20 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-1
Jul 30 Odense vs Brondby 1-2
Mar 19 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-0
Nov 06 Odense vs Brondby 1-1
Aug 14 Odense vs Brondby 2-0
Aug 07 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-2
May 01 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-0
Apr 24 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aarhus GF struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Odense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 20, 2023 Odense 1 - 1 Aarhus GF Superliga
Mar 19, 2023 Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Odense Superliga
Aug 07, 2022 Odense 1 - 2 Aarhus GF Superliga
May 01, 2022 Odense 1 - 0 Aarhus GF Superliga
Apr 24, 2022 Aarhus GF 1 - 2 Odense Superliga
Nov 01, 2021 Odense 0 - 0 Aarhus GF Superliga
Aug 29, 2021 Aarhus GF 2 - 2 Odense Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aarhus GF to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aarhus GF Power 0
Odense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Aarhus GF Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Odense Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.