AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Mar 19, 2023

Aarhus GF

Home
VS
14:00

Odense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Aarhus GF Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Odense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.83 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aarhus GF Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Odense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Aarhus GF Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Aarhus GF vs Rangers FC 1-2
Feb 26 Aarhus GF vs Silkeborg… 1-1
Aug 07 Aarhus GF vs Odense 1-2
May 01 Aarhus GF vs Odense 1-0
Apr 24 Aarhus GF vs Odense 1-2
Nov 01 Aarhus GF vs Odense 0-0
Aug 29 Aarhus GF vs Odense 2-2
Odense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Odense vs Brondby 1-1
Aug 14 Odense vs Brondby 2-0
Aug 07 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-2
May 01 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-0
Apr 24 Odense vs Aarhus GF 1-2
Jan 20 Odense vs FC Freder… 2-1
Nov 07 Odense vs Brondby 2-1
Nov 01 Odense vs Aarhus GF 0-0
Aug 29 Odense vs Aarhus GF 2-2
Aug 21 Odense vs Brondby 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 07, 2022 Odense 1 - 2 Aarhus GF Superliga
May 01, 2022 Odense 1 - 0 Aarhus GF Superliga
Apr 24, 2022 Aarhus GF 1 - 2 Odense Superliga
Nov 01, 2021 Odense 0 - 0 Aarhus GF Superliga
Aug 29, 2021 Aarhus GF 2 - 2 Odense Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aarhus GF to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aarhus GF Power 0
Odense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Aarhus GF Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Odense Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.