AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Superliga Apr 24, 2022

Aarhus GF

Home

16:00

Odense

Away

AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence

Aarhus GF Win

43.0%

Draw

25.4%

Odense Win

31.6%

Home Win (43% confidence)

Predicted Score: 1-1

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 67%

Standings 70%

Market 50%

Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 46%

xG: 1.99 - 1.39

Key Insights

xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.4 Position gap: 5 places

High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Aarhus GF Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

14%

1 goals:

27%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

18%

4 goals:

Odense Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

25%

1 goals:

35%

2 goals:

24%

3 goals:

11%

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Under 2.5 Goals 36%

Aarhus GF Form 10.0%

Date	Match	Result
Nov 01	Aarhus GF vs Odense	0-0
Aug 29	Aarhus GF vs Odense	2-2

Odense Form 10.0%

Date	Match	Result
Jan 20	Odense vs FC Freder…	2-1
Nov 07	Odense vs Brondby	2-1
Nov 01	Odense vs Aarhus GF	0-0
Aug 29	Odense vs Aarhus GF	2-2
Aug 21	Odense vs Brondby	2-2
Jul 07	Odense vs Brondby	1-1

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches

Date	Home Team	Score	Away Team	League
Nov 01, 2021	Odense	0 - 0	Aarhus GF	Superliga
Aug 29, 2021	Aarhus GF	2 - 2	Odense	Superliga

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aarhus GF to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence

Rules Passed

POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Aarhus GF Power 0

Odense Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

1

Aarhus GF Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Odense Position

Home Win Rate: 67%

Away Win Rate: 33%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.