AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 18, 2025

Glentoran

Home
VS
19:45

Larne

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Glentoran Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Larne Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (19%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Glentoran Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 0-0
Mar 12 Glentoran vs Glentoran 3-3
Mar 09 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 0-1
Mar 08 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-1
Feb 28 Glentoran vs Bangor 3-1
Feb 22 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
Feb 21 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Feb 18 Glentoran vs Larne 1-1
Feb 14 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 1-2
Feb 08 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-0
Larne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-1
Mar 11 Larne vs Ballymena… 1-2
Mar 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-0
Feb 22 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-1
Feb 18 Larne vs Glentoran 1-1
Feb 15 Larne vs Portadown 2-0
Feb 11 Larne vs Linfield 1-0
Feb 08 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Feb 04 Larne vs Carrick R… 1-2
Feb 01 Larne vs Portadown 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2025 Larne 1 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Larne 6 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 23, 2024 Larne 3 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 03, 2024 Larne 5 - 0 Glentoran Irish Cup
Dec 08, 2023 Larne 4 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 24, 2023 Larne 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Glentoran to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Glentoran Power 0
Larne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Glentoran Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Larne Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.