AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 20, 2024

Larne

Home
VS
18:45

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Larne Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Glentoran Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.22 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Larne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Larne vs Glentoran 0-0
Sep 14 Larne vs Linfield 0-1
Sep 07 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-1
Sep 01 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-1
Jul 05 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 2-1
Apr 27 Larne vs Coleraine… 5-0
Apr 22 Larne vs Linfield 1-1
Apr 16 Larne vs Glentoran 1-2
Apr 13 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 8-1
Apr 06 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-1
Glentoran Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Glentoran vs Larne 0-0
Sep 14 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
Sep 07 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 1-0
Aug 31 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 1-0
Aug 30 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 3-1
Aug 24 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-2
Aug 23 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 2-3
Aug 20 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 0-0
Aug 17 Glentoran vs Portadown 1-2
Aug 09 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Larne 6 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 23, 2024 Larne 3 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 03, 2024 Larne 5 - 0 Glentoran Irish Cup
Dec 08, 2023 Larne 4 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 24, 2023 Larne 2 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Glentoran 0 - 4 Larne Premiership
Aug 11, 2023 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Apr 07, 2023 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.