AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 04, 2025

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
03:00

Perth Glory Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Perth Glory Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.80 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 21 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Dec 08 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Nov 22 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Nov 17 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Nov 10 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 30 Wellingto… vs Western S… 2-0
Mar 24 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 1-0
Mar 20 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 4-0
Mar 17 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-4
Perth Glory Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 27 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 0-1
Dec 20 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 15 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Nov 24 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 1-1
Nov 15 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Nov 10 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 3-2
Nov 03 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 5-2
Mar 31 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 24 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Mar 16 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 Perth Glory Women 1 - 3 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Nov 25, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Perth Glory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.